New York Jets @ New England Patriots: Over/Under
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This game, Jets vs Patriots is essentially a battle for first place of the AFC East. I am not too comfortable on picking a winner but I would definitely count on this being a low scoring defensive battle. Matt Cassel may be an efficient quarterback but he’s not the kind to put up huge numbers. Since losing Tom Brady, Belichik has been focusing mainly on maintaining possession of the football to win games. The Pats’ strategy is focused on short passes and on running the ball. |
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This kind of strategy does get the chains moving but at a much slower pace. This is a key ingredient to a low scoring football game. Even with Brett Favre at quarterback, the Jets are running the ball quite frequently. New York is averaging 208.8 yards in the air per game ranking 14th in the league. This is not what you would expect from a team with Brett Favre at QB. However, they have been very efficient at running the ball, ranking 9th in the NFL, averaging 123.4 yards per game on the ground. The trends favour the under for this game. The total went under 4 out of the last 5 meetings between these two teams. Under is 4-0-1 in New England’s last 5 versus teams with a winning record and 8-1-2 in New England’s last 11 home games. For the Jets, under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 road games and 6-1-1 in their last 8 games against teams with winning records. Expect this to be a hard fought defensive game.
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