Free Pick: Under 10 -120 (4 units)

There is a substantial amount of value playing the UNDER in this matchup. The total at 9.5 or 10 is inflated. Detroit sends rookie lefty Lucas French (1-1, 2.22) to the mound. He has been faring rather well recently with an ERA of only 2.17 in his last 3 starts. This works in our favour since UNDER is 8-2 in Texas’ last 10 home games versus left handed pitchers.

Vincente Padilla (7-5, 4.67) will start for the Rangers. Padilla’s numbers haven’t been fantastic but the UNDER trends related to Padilla are heavily one sided. UNDER is 6-0 in Padilla’s last 6 home starts and 7-0 in Padilla’s last 7 overall. Overall, the Tigers and Rangers have been UNDER machines as of late. UNDER is 10-1 in Detroit’s last 11 and 10-0-1 in the Rangers last 11. UNDER is 22-5 in Texas’ last 27 when the total is set at 9 to 10.5.

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