Utah Jazz @ Portland Trailblazers
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Bet 5 units (7 unit system). There is a lot of value in betting under the total of 200 points for several reasons. |
1) Portland has the 8th ranked defense in the league, allowing an average of 94.4 points per game and only 92.2 points per game at home. Portland’s defense has been hot lately, allowing an average of only 87.6 points per game.
2) Trends totals related to Portland home games significantly favour the Under.
Under is 10-2 in Trail Blazers last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Under is 5-0 in Trail Blazers last 5 vs. NBA Northwest.
Under is 6-2 in Trail Blazers last 8 home games.
Under is 12-4 in Trail Blazers last 16 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
Under is 9-3 in Trail Blazers last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record
3) Previous meetings between these two teams indicate that the total of 200 points is a value that is significantly inflated. In the last 6 meetings between these two teams the total exceeded 200 only once.
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