Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots
2* Freeplay: Miami +10.5
We were introduced to the Wildcat the last time Miami traveled to New England. The Dolphins surprised everyone, defeating the Pats 38-13 as a 12.5 point underdog. We will glady take Miami in this one since there are several factors working in our favor. The Pats have absolutely destroyed their previous two opponents, Tennessee and Tampa Bay and as a result this line is inflated.
However, both clubs have been absolutely terrible this year with a combined record of 1-14. The Dolphins have been competitive for the most part, almost defeating the Saints and Colts and they managed to take two away from the Jets. Tony Sparano’s formula is quite simple; keep the opposition’s offense off the field. The Dolphins have been able to do this by running the ball and utilizing their Wildcat offense. Miami has the 3rd best rush offense in the NFL. In short, the Dolphins will maintain posession of the ball with their ground attack and therefore minimize Tom Brady’s time on the field. The trends are heavily one sided in this one. Miami is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 contests as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater and 13-3 ATS as a road underdog in its last 16 road contests. New England is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 contests as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater. Lay the number on Miami.
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