Vancouver Canucks @ Minnesota Wild
4* Selection: UNDER 5 +120
At this point about half of the sportsbooks are offering the total at 5 and the other half at 5.5. However, there is a huge difference in the price for that extra 1/2 point. If you play the UNDER at 5.5 you will be getting -140 to -150 odds. On the other hand, if you play the UNDER at 5 you are being offered +120 odds.
I believe that although there is a risk of a push, you are better off taking the lower total with the positive odds. UNDER is 6-2-2 in the last 10 meetings between Minnesota and Vancouver but only two of the contests produced exactly 5 goals. In short, based on this pattern alone, the chances of the total being less than 5 are clearly in our favor and thus it makes a lot more sense to play the UNDER 5 at +120 odds. The Canucks are without Luongo but Andrew Raycroft has stepped in and produced at the same level. He has a 1.52 G.A.A. with a 0.932 save percentage. Vancouver will depend on him to keep them in it since the Canucks are averaging only 1.67 goals per game on the road this season. The trends tell the story in this one. UNDER is 8-2 in Vancouver’s last 10 and 7-1 in Minny’s last 8. UNDER is 8-3 in Minnesota’s last 11 home games. There is a small chance of a push here but the total is highly unlikely to exceed 5 goals. Take the UNDER in this one.
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