Anaheim Ducks @ Detroit Red Wings
3* Selection: UNDER 5.5 +105
We are getting a lot of value in playing the UNDER here since oddsmakers are giving us positive odds. Both teams have experienced goaltending issues in the beginning of the season but at this point it looks like goaltending is no longer an issue for either club. Detroit’s backup goaltender will likely get the start since Osgood is out with the flu but he’s been almost perfect in his last two contests stopping 56/58 shots.
The fact that this game is in Detroit has a strong impact on the total. The Red Wings are allowing only 1.88 goals per game to the opposition at home this season and have allowed a total of only 2 goals in their last 3 games in Detroit. The trends also tell the story in this one. UNDER is 76-36-11 in Anaheim’s last 123 contests when playing with 0 days rest. UNDER is 11-3 in Detroit’s last 11 home contests. UNDER is 15-5-2 in the last 22 meetings in Detroit.
Expect Detroit to build a lead and protect it.
Take the UNDER here.
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