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  • Handicapper Records 2009

      W L P Units
      NFL 44 30 0 +31.49
      NHL 16 10 0 +20.87
      NCAA-F 10 8 1 +2.77
      NFL 12 8 0 +8.73

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New England Patriots

Betting on sports is not an easy task. In fact, there is a myth that 95% of people who bet online are losing their money. This is because people are making the wrong picks and poorly managing their money. Today I will discuss a successful sports picking strategy that is utilized by numerous professional sports handicappers that will help improve your winning percentage for your sports picks, thus helping you make picks that will be much more profitable for you in the long run. The strategy is identifying streaks and using these streaks to your advantage to make high winning percentage picks. I will use last NFL season as a reference, focusing on against the spread (ATS) results. The key here is to identify noticeable ATS trends and understanding the foundation behind these trends.

One of my favorite examples is the New England Patriots. The Patriots were 9-1 ATS during the first 10 games of the season. On November 18, 2007, as a 16 point favorite, they creamed the Buffalo Bills by a score of 56-10. The following week, they were a 24 point favorite against the Philadelphia Eagles. I remember this game quite well. I had a very strong doubt about New England covering this ridiculously huge spread so I didn’t bet on the game. Sure enough, the Eagles gave the Patriots a run for their money, as New England only won by a field goal. This was the big turning point for New England, in terms of their ATS record, because odds makers were overvaluing the New England spreads and the Pats’ opponents began adjusting their strategies to narrow down New England’s margin of victory. After crushing the Bills, the Patriots were 1-9 ATS for the rest of the season. All in all, if one had bet for the Patriots to beat the spread for the first 10 games of the season and then against them for the last 10 games, their record for betting on the Pats would have been 18-2!

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