Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs: Over/Under
|
The logic behind this pick is that the Broncos are a high scoring team that performs very weak defensively. Thus, the total for their first 3 games was over. The Chiefs are amongst the bottom 8 teams in the NFL in terms of their defensive output thus far this season. Denver has even worse numbers defensively than the Chiefs. |
The bottom line is that Denver will score about 40 points and Kansas City should manage between 15-20. All the details of this matchup can be found in my other premium pick related to this game where I picked Denver –9.5.
There are several trends that also favor the over bet. First, the total has gone over 6 out of the last 7 meetings between these two teams. Second, over is 8-1 in Denver’s last 9 games when facing a team with a losing record. Third, over is 22-6-1 in Denver’s last 29 games overall and 20-6-1 in its last 27 games on grass.
Prediction: Denver 41 K.C. 20
Related posts: