Green Bay Packers @ New Orleans Saints: Over/Under
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Any Monday night football game featuring either the Packers or the Saints is guaranteed to be an absolutely entertaining affair. When you have a Monday nighter featuring both teams you cannot afford to miss out on the action. Picking a winner in this one is definitely not an easy task. However, betting the total is a completely different story. |
This season teams have been lighting up the scoreboard on weeknight football games. As a result the over record for weeknight games are 13-2-1. Offenses have been even more convincing on Monday nights as this season’s over record just for Monday night football games alone is 10-1-1with an average of 49.75 points per game. However, if you isolate the Monday night games that include at least one team that is ranked amongst the top half of the teams in the NFL for points scored the average total for those games is 56.2 points.
New Orleans is averaging 31.5 points per game at home. On the other end of the spectrum, the Saints are fairly weak on the defensive side of the football. They are currently ranked 24th in the NFL in terms of points allowed, allowing an average of 24.9 points per game. When facing an opponent with either a winning record or that is ranked among the top half of the league in scoring, the Saints have allowed an average of 29.9 points this season. In short, the Packers who are averaging 27.4 points per game, ranking fifth in the NFL, will definitely put up big numbers against New Orleans.
The Green Bay Packers have some respectable defensive numbers. They have the third best pass defense and are allowing an average of 20.9 points per game, ranking 11th in the league. However, when looking analyzing the teams they have played, it appears that their defense has not been tested that much. They have only played 3 teams who rank amongst the top 12 in points scored. Their opponent for tonight is averaging 26.6 points per game and has the best ranked offense in the NFL, founded by a massive attack through the air, averaging 319.7 passing yards per game. Expect the Packers to have a relatively difficult time at stopping the Saints from moving the ball and scoring points.
When analyzing trends it appears that all signs indicate that the over bet is the easy bet for this game. Over is 8-1-1 in Green Bay’s last 10 road contests and also the same record for New Orleans’ last 10 home contests. Additionally, the total was over in each of the last 4 games these 2 teams met. This one’s easy money. Bet the over.
Prediction: Green Bay 30 New Orleans 27
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