Green Bay Packers @ Seattle Seahawks: Over/Under
 Premium Pick: Over 46
It will be a complete fluke or miracle if the total goes under for this game. This is a matchup between two teams that have the ability to put up big numbers offensively but have had immense difficulty at stopping the opposition. Consequently the combined 2008 over/under record between these two teams is 8-1. |
The Seahawks generally play much better at home. Last season they were 6-2 at home. So far they are 1-1. The important thing is that they are able to score at home as they have already scored 68 points in their first two home games, despite missing several key players to injury. The Packers are struggling defensively, mainly because they are banged up. The Packers are allowing an average of 25.3 points per game and since Al Harris was injured in week 3 against Dallas they have allowed an average of 28 points per game. The key advantage for Seattle is their running game as they rank 6th in the NFL for rushing yards, meanwhile the Packers rank 27th at stopping the run.
Green Bay is one of the strongest teams in league offensively. They rank eighth in points scored and passing yards. Aaron Rodgers is nursing a shoulder injury but the Packers were still able to put up 24 points against the Falcons last Sunday. The Seahawks have been quite pitiful defensively this season. They are allowing an average of 31 points to the opposition ranking 29th in the league in that category. Green Bay will exploit their vulnerable defense with their passing game as the Packers rank 8th in passing yards and the Seahawks rank 25th in pass defense.
There are several trends that favor the over in this game. Over is 5-1 for Green Bay in their last 6 on field turf and 15-3 in their last 18 against teams in the NFC. Over is 5-1 in Seattle’s last 6 home games and 6-0 in their last 6 versus the NFC. The total went over 4 out of the last 5 meetings between these two teams. Both teams are desperate for a win as this game will make or break their chance at making the playoffs. Expect to see an offensive shootout.
Prediction:Seattle 30 Green Bay 27
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